Phoenix, AZ rental market report

The investor's view of Phoenix: official FY2025 rents for the Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ MSA, and what a standard 3-bedroom rental actually pencils at across price points — every figure computed by the same deterministic engine behind the analyzer.

FY2025 rent benchmarks (HUD Fair Market Rents)

Studio1 BR2 BR3 BR4 BR
$1,530/mo$1,679/mo$1,950/mo$2,624/mo$2,934/mo

Source: U.S. Department of Housing & Urban Development, FY2025. FMRs sit at the 40th percentile — treat them as floor benchmarks; renovated or well-located units often rent above.

What pencils in Phoenix: 3BR buy-and-hold scenarios

Underwritten at the metro's $2,624/mo 3BR benchmark with 20% down, 7% interest, and a full operating-expense load (taxes, insurance, vacancy, maintenance, management):

Purchase priceMonthly cash flowDSCRCash-on-cashVerdict
$340,000-$532/mo0.71-8.2%NEGOTIATE
$395,000-$882/mo0.58-11.6%PASS
$445,000-$1,200/mo0.49-14.1%PASS

Read: at FY2025 benchmark rents, standard-financing buy-and-hold is challenging at these price points in Phoenix — deals here need discounts, higher-rent units, or a different strategy (rent-by-room often changes the math entirely). Illustrative scenarios, not offers of advice — every real deal needs its own underwriting.

Run a real Phoenix address

These are benchmark scenarios. The analyzer underwrites an actual property — records, live listing status, market rent estimate, all six strategies — in 30 seconds.

Analyze a Phoenix deal free